Stocks

AAPL

Apple Inc.

Apple Inc. common stock, listed on NASDAQ.

236.32+0.10%

Price · last 3 months

Simulated

Market trend

Bearish

88/100 confidence

Apple Inc. is clearly bearish on this timeframe.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

Price vs long-term averagebearish
EMA 20 vs EMA 50neutral
MACD momentumbearish
RSI (14)bearish
Bollinger positionbearish
Market structurebearish

Key levels

240.46+1.75%
243.56+3.06%
244.11+3.29%

Price236.32

236.20-0.05%
234.07-0.95%
228.68-3.23%

22.5%annualised · normal

Volatility is around its normal level for this market — no particular warning signal from the range itself.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

Megacap earnings lift index futures as AI capex guidance raised
News
Two of the largest cloud providers raised full-year capital expenditure guidance and pointed to capacity constraints rather than demand as the limiting factor. Semiconductor names traded higher in sympathy.
6h ago
Medium-term trend turned bearish
Trend change
The 20-period average crossed below the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
23h ago
Closed below 236.20
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
2d ago
Index rebalance to shift meaningful weight toward technology
News
The scheduled quarterly rebalance is expected to move index weight toward the technology sector, with passive funds needing to trade a large notional at the close on the effective date.
3d ago
Closed above 240.46
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
8d ago
Closed above 243.56
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
8d ago
Closed above 243.56
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
12d ago
Closed above 244.11
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
12d ago
Closed above 240.46
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
13d ago
Closed above 243.56
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
19d ago
Closed above 244.11
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
19d ago
Closed above 240.46
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
22d ago
Closed above 243.56
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
22d ago
Closed above 240.46
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
26d ago
Dropped 3.79% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.5× its typical daily range (2.57%).
27d ago
Closed above 243.56
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Aug 13
Closed above 244.11
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Aug 13
Closed above 244.11
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Aug 10
Closed above 243.56
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Aug 8
Closed above 243.56
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Aug 6

Showing the 20 most recent of 34 events in this window.

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

240.78 / 241.00

bearish

The 20-period average has crossed below the 50-period average — sellers have had the upper hand and rallies have been sold into.

40.9

bearish

At 41 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

-1.5179

bearish

MACD sits below its signal line — short-term momentum has rolled over relative to the medium-term trend, which typically precedes or confirms a pullback.

1.01× average

neutral

Volume is close to its period average — participation is normal and is neither confirming nor contradicting the price move.

5.72 (2.42%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 5.72 per bar, or 2.42% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger: A daily close above 240.46 on above-average volume
If it fires: 243.56 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation: A move back below 236.20 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 240.46 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 243.56. This would be counter-trend, so it needs stronger confirmation than usual — a single spike through the level is not enough. Given the market is moving roughly 5.72 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger: Losing 236.20 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires: 234.07, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation: Reclaiming 240.46 would void this idea

If 236.20 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 234.07. This aligns with the prevailing trend, which makes it the higher-probability of the two paths here. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.

Trading risks

This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
Single-name equity carries idiosyncratic risk — earnings, guidance and management changes can override any technical picture.
Earnings dates create scheduled gap risk that stops cannot protect against.

Key events to watch

The next quarterly earnings date and guidance revisions
Sector-wide news affecting comparable companies
Analyst rating changes and index inclusion or removal

What actually drives Apple Inc.: iPhone cycle, services margin, China exposure.

Latest market news

Equities Wirerecently

bullish · high impact

Megacap earnings lift index futures as AI capex guidance raised

30-second summary

Two of the largest cloud providers raised full-year capital expenditure guidance and pointed to capacity constraints rather than demand as the limiting factor. Semiconductor names traded higher in sympathy.

Equities Wirerecently

mixed · low impact

Index rebalance to shift meaningful weight toward technology

30-second summary

The scheduled quarterly rebalance is expected to move index weight toward the technology sector, with passive funds needing to trade a large notional at the close on the effective date.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Sep 18, 10:41 PM · No live source is configured for this market, so prices are simulated and do not represent real quotes.