Avalanche

Avalanche's native token, priced against the US dollar.

8.190+8.13%

Price · last 3 months

Live · CoinGecko

Market trend

Bullish

88/100 confidence

Avalanche is clearly bullish on this timeframe.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

Price vs long-term averagebullish
EMA 20 vs EMA 50bullish
MACD momentumbullish
RSI (14)bullish
Bollinger positionbullish
Market structurebullish

Key levels

8.242+0.63%

Price8.190

7.079-13.56%
6.794-17.04%
6.397-21.90%

47.8%annualised · normal

Volatility is around its normal level for this market — no particular warning signal from the range itself.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

Jumped 7.93% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.0× its typical daily range (4.00%).
23h ago
Dropped 4.46% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (3.69%).
4d ago
Jumped 4.54% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (3.74%).
5d ago
Jumped 4.99% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (3.68%).
16d ago
Dropped 4.78% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (4.04%).
28d ago
Jumped 9.58% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.4× its typical daily range (3.92%).
29d ago
Medium-term trend turned bullish
Trend change
The 20-period average crossed above the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
29d ago
Jumped 5.63% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.5× its typical daily range (3.68%).
Aug 20
Jumped 7.48% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.1× its typical daily range (3.63%).
Aug 19
Closed below 6.397
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Aug 15
Closed below 6.397
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Aug 11
Jumped 6.61% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.6× its typical daily range (4.03%).
Aug 2
Closed below 6.397
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 31
Closed below 6.794
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 26
Jumped 8.43% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.1× its typical daily range (4.06%).
Jul 25
Dropped 4.84% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (3.62%).
Jul 23
Closed below 6.397
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 23
Closed below 6.397
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 13
Closed below 6.794
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 7
Closed below 6.397
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 28

Showing the 20 most recent of 21 events in this window.

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

7.505 / 7.217

bullish

The 20-period average sits above the 50-period average, which is the classic shape of an uptrend. Price above both means buyers have controlled the recent range.

64.5

bullish

At 65 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

0.14744

bullish

MACD is above its signal line, so short-term momentum is running ahead of the medium-term trend. Momentum is currently working for buyers.

1.50× average

bullish

Recent activity is running 50% above the period average, and price is rising into it. Participation confirming the move is what separates a real trend from drift.

0.304 (3.70%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 0.304 per bar, or 3.70% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger: A daily close above 8.242 on above-average volume
If it fires: 8.407 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation: A move back below 7.079 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 8.242 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 8.407. The broader trend already supports this, so it would be continuation rather than a reversal. Given the market is moving roughly 0.304 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger: Losing 7.079 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires: 6.794, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation: Reclaiming 8.242 would void this idea

If 7.079 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 6.794. This runs against the prevailing trend, so it would most likely need a catalyst rather than developing on its own. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.

Trading risks

This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

Spot ETF flow data, published daily
Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Avalanche: subnet adoption, DeFi total value locked, institutional partnerships.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Sep 18, 10:42 PM · Live market data from CoinGecko.