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Crypto
ETHUSD

Ethereum

Ether priced against the US dollar.

2,605.80+6.29%

Price · last 3 months

Live · CoinGecko

Market trend

Bullish

88/100 confidence

Ethereum is clearly bullish on this timeframe.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

  • Price vs long-term averagebullish
  • EMA 20 vs EMA 50bullish
  • MACD momentumbearish
  • RSI (14)bullish
  • Bollinger positionbullish
  • Market structurebullish

Key levels

  • 2,626.56+0.80%
Price2,605.80
  • 2,527.43-3.01%
  • 1,931.10-25.89%
  • 1,856.90-28.74%

46.6%annualised · normal

Volatility is around its normal level for this market — no particular warning signal from the range itself.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

  • Bitcoin ETFs log largest weekly inflow since launch

    News

    Spot Bitcoin ETFs took in net new money across every session last week, led by two of the largest issuers. Ether products saw smaller but positive flows for the third week running.

    4h ago

  • Ethereum layer-2 activity hits record as fees compress further

    News

    Aggregate transactions across major rollups set a new high while median fees fell again following the latest data-availability upgrade. Mainnet settlement revenue rose despite lower per-transaction costs.

    13h ago

  • Jumped 7.21% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.1× its typical daily range (3.41%).

    1d ago

  • Dropped 5.37% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.7× its typical daily range (3.08%).

    4d ago

  • Closed below 2,527.43

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    4d ago

  • Jumped 4.96% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.6× its typical daily range (3.15%).

    16d ago

  • Dropped 4.29% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (2.99%).

    28d ago

  • Jumped 8.99% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.9× its typical daily range (3.13%).

    29d ago

  • Jumped 17.60% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 5.7× its typical daily range (3.10%).

    Aug 19

  • Closed below 1,856.90

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    Aug 1

  • Dropped 3.35% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (2.76%).

    Jul 31

  • Closed below 1,931.10

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    Jul 27

  • Jumped 3.91% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (2.86%).

    Jul 26

  • Closed below 1,931.10

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    Jul 23

  • Closed below 1,856.90

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    Jul 17

  • Jumped 7.08% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.9× its typical daily range (3.67%).

    Jul 14

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

2,464.00 / 2,294.47

bullish

The 20-period average sits above the 50-period average, which is the classic shape of an uptrend. Price above both means buyers have controlled the recent range.

63.3

bullish

At 63 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

66.7587

bearish

MACD sits below its signal line — short-term momentum has rolled over relative to the medium-term trend, which typically precedes or confirms a pullback.

1.66× average

bullish

Recent activity is running 66% above the period average, and price is rising into it. Participation confirming the move is what separates a real trend from drift.

78.67 (3.02%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 78.67 per bar, or 3.02% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger
A daily close above 2,626.56 on above-average volume
If it fires
2,679.09 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation
A move back below 2,527.43 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 2,626.56 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 2,679.09. The broader trend already supports this, so it would be continuation rather than a reversal. Given the market is moving roughly 78.67 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger
Losing 2,527.43 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires
1,931.10, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation
Reclaiming 2,626.56 would void this idea

If 2,527.43 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 1,931.10. This runs against the prevailing trend, so it would most likely need a catalyst rather than developing on its own. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.

Trading risks

  • This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
  • Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
  • Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
  • Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

  • Spot ETF flow data, published daily
  • Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
  • Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Ethereum: network activity, staking flows, layer-2 adoption, correlation to Bitcoin.

Latest market news

Digital Assets Daily
bullish · high impact

Bitcoin ETFs log largest weekly inflow since launch

30-second summary

Spot Bitcoin ETFs took in net new money across every session last week, led by two of the largest issuers. Ether products saw smaller but positive flows for the third week running.

Digital Assets Daily
bullish · moderate impact

Ethereum layer-2 activity hits record as fees compress further

30-second summary

Aggregate transactions across major rollups set a new high while median fees fell again following the latest data-availability upgrade. Mainnet settlement revenue rose despite lower per-transaction costs.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Sep 19, 01:39 AM · Live market data from CoinGecko.