Hedera

Hedera's native token, used to pay fees on its enterprise-oriented distributed ledger, priced against the US dollar.

0.06988-1.30%

Price · last 3 months

Live · CoinGecko

Market trend

Bearish

38/100 confidence

Hedera is marginally bearish on this timeframe.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

Price vs long-term averagebearish
EMA 20 vs EMA 50bearish
MACD momentumbullish
RSI (14)neutral
Bollinger positionbullish
Market structurebullish

Key levels

0.07442+6.50%
0.07712+10.37%
0.08251+18.08%

Price0.06988

0.06863-1.79%
0.06704-4.07%
0.06565-6.05%

38.7%annualised · normal

Volatility is around its normal level for this market — no particular warning signal from the range itself.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

Closed below 0.06863
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
5d ago
Closed below 0.06863
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
9d ago
Jumped 5.36% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.6× its typical daily range (3.45%).
14d ago
Jumped 4.29% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (3.35%).
15d ago
Closed below 0.06704
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
20d ago
Closed below 0.06704
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
23d ago
Closed below 0.06863
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
24d ago
Jumped 4.99% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (4.24%).
Jul 4
Closed above 0.07442
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 4
Dropped 6.74% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (4.75%).
Jun 2
Jumped 7.45% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.9× its typical daily range (3.91%).
May 28

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

0.06956 / 0.07287

bearish

The 20-period average has crossed below the 50-period average — sellers have had the upper hand and rallies have been sold into.

49.6

neutral

At 50 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

-0.00048

bullish

MACD is above its signal line, so short-term momentum is running ahead of the medium-term trend. Momentum is currently working for buyers.

0.58× average

neutral

Activity is 42% below average. Thin participation makes the current move easier to reverse and less reliable as a signal.

0.00201 (2.88%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 0.00201 per bar, or 2.88% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger: A daily close above 0.07442 on above-average volume
If it fires: 0.07712 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation: A move back below 0.06863 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 0.07442 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 0.07712. This would be counter-trend, so it needs stronger confirmation than usual — a single spike through the level is not enough. Given the market is moving roughly 0.00201 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger: Losing 0.06863 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires: 0.06704, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation: Reclaiming 0.07442 would void this idea

If 0.06863 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 0.06704. This aligns with the prevailing trend, which makes it the higher-probability of the two paths here. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.

Trading risks

This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
Indicators disagree with each other on this timeframe, which historically means choppy conditions and a higher rate of false signals.
Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

Spot ETF flow data, published daily
Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Hedera: enterprise partnership announcements, network throughput, council-governance decisions.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Aug 4, 09:13 PM · Live market data from CoinGecko.