Litecoin

Litecoin, one of the earliest Bitcoin forks, priced against the US dollar.

107.09-0.71%

Price · last 3 months

Simulated

Market trend

Bearish

47/100 confidence

Litecoin is marginally bearish on this timeframe.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

Price vs long-term averagebearish
EMA 20 vs EMA 50bullish
MACD momentumbearish
RSI (14)bearish
Bollinger positionbearish
Market structurebullish

Key levels

108.57+1.38%
110.42+3.11%
113.84+6.31%

Price107.09

106.69-0.37%
106.09-0.93%
101.29-5.41%

19.8%annualised · low

Volatility is compressed relative to normal. Quiet markets tend to precede expansion, so this is a setup for a breakout rather than a reason to expect continued calm.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

Closed above 108.57
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
3d ago
Closed above 110.42
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
15d ago
Closed above 108.57
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
16d ago
Closed below 106.69
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
20d ago
Closed above 110.42
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
28d ago
Closed above 108.57
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 6
Jumped 2.45% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (2.04%).
Jul 5
Dropped 4.20% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.9× its typical daily range (2.20%).
Jun 23
Closed below 106.69
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 23
Closed below 106.09
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 23
Dropped 2.53% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (1.86%).
Jun 22
Closed above 110.42
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 16
Closed above 108.57
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 14
Jumped 2.79% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (2.11%).
Jun 10
Closed below 106.09
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 9
Dropped 2.30% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (1.91%).
Jun 7
Closed below 106.69
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 7
Closed below 106.09
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 7
Dropped 2.17% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (1.80%).
Jun 5
Closed below 106.69
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 5

Showing the 20 most recent of 21 events in this window.

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

108.92 / 108.09

bullish

The 20-period average sits above the 50-period average, which is the classic shape of an uptrend. Price above both means buyers have controlled the recent range.

45.4

neutral

At 45 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

-0.0919

bearish

MACD sits below its signal line — short-term momentum has rolled over relative to the medium-term trend, which typically precedes or confirms a pullback.

0.88× average

neutral

Volume is close to its period average — participation is normal and is neither confirming nor contradicting the price move.

2.16 (2.01%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 2.16 per bar, or 2.01% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger: A daily close above 108.57 on above-average volume
If it fires: 110.42 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation: A move back below 106.69 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 108.57 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 110.42. This would be counter-trend, so it needs stronger confirmation than usual — a single spike through the level is not enough. Given the market is moving roughly 2.16 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger: Losing 106.69 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires: 106.09, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation: Reclaiming 108.57 would void this idea

If 106.69 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 106.09. This aligns with the prevailing trend, which makes it the higher-probability of the two paths here. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.

Trading risks

This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
Indicators disagree with each other on this timeframe, which historically means choppy conditions and a higher rate of false signals.
Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

Spot ETF flow data, published daily
Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Litecoin: Bitcoin correlation, halving cycle, payment-processor adoption.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Aug 4, 09:12 PM · No live source is configured for this market, so prices are simulated and do not represent real quotes.