NEAR Protocol

NEAR Protocol's native token, priced against the US dollar.

106.813-0.89%

Price · last 3 months

Simulated

Market trend

Neutral

30/100 confidence

NEAR Protocol is range-bound with no decisive edge either way.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

Price vs long-term averageneutral
EMA 20 vs EMA 50bearish
MACD momentumbullish
RSI (14)neutral
Bollinger positionbullish
Market structurebearish

Key levels

107.405+0.55%
109.229+2.26%
110.927+3.85%

Price106.813

106.780-0.03%
106.560-0.24%
103.427-3.17%

18.6%annualised · low

Volatility is compressed relative to normal. Quiet markets tend to precede expansion, so this is a setup for a breakout rather than a reason to expect continued calm.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

Closed below 103.427
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
22d ago
Dropped 2.41% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (1.96%).
23d ago
Closed below 106.780
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
24d ago
Closed below 106.560
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
24d ago
Dropped 2.53% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (2.03%).
29d ago
Closed above 110.927
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 5
Jumped 2.40% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (1.94%).
Jun 27
Closed above 110.927
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 27
Closed above 109.229
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 20
Closed above 109.229
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 17
Closed above 107.405
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 15
Closed above 109.229
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 11
Closed above 109.229
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 9
Closed above 109.229
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 6
Dropped 2.46% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (2.02%).
Jun 3
Jumped 3.11% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (2.40%).
May 23
Closed above 110.927
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 9
Closed above 109.229
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
May 8

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

105.830 / 107.446

bearish

The 20-period average has crossed below the 50-period average — sellers have had the upper hand and rallies have been sold into.

54.5

neutral

At 54 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

-0.33703

bullish

MACD is above its signal line, so short-term momentum is running ahead of the medium-term trend. Momentum is currently working for buyers.

1.14× average

neutral

Volume is close to its period average — participation is normal and is neither confirming nor contradicting the price move.

2.087 (1.95%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 2.087 per bar, or 1.95% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger: A daily close above 107.405 on above-average volume
If it fires: 109.229 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation: A move back below 106.780 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 107.405 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 109.229. In a range-bound market a clean break is what resolves the indecision, so the volume behind it matters more than the break itself. Given the market is moving roughly 2.087 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger: Losing 106.780 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires: 106.560, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation: Reclaiming 107.405 would void this idea

If 106.780 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 106.560. With no trend in place, a failure at support is as likely to resolve the range as a break higher. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.

Trading risks

This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
Indicators disagree with each other on this timeframe, which historically means choppy conditions and a higher rate of false signals.
Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

Spot ETF flow data, published daily
Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives NEAR Protocol: developer activity, AI-agent narrative flows, layer-1 competition.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Aug 4, 09:14 PM · No live source is configured for this market, so prices are simulated and do not represent real quotes.