Crypto

SOLUSD

Solana

Solana priced against the US dollar.

170.92-0.85%

Price · last 3 months

Simulated

Market trend

Bearish

88/100 confidence

Solana is clearly bearish on this timeframe.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

Price vs long-term averagebearish
EMA 20 vs EMA 50bearish
MACD momentumbearish
RSI (14)bearish
Bollinger positionbearish
Market structurebullish

Key levels

170.93+0.00%
172.10+0.69%
212.65+24.41%

Price170.92

168.90-1.19%
163.53-4.32%
155.73-8.89%

71.3%annualised · elevated

Volatility is above its typical level for this market. Expect larger swings than usual in both directions and size positions accordingly.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

Bitcoin ETFs log largest weekly inflow since launch
News
Spot Bitcoin ETFs took in net new money across every session last week, led by two of the largest issuers. Ether products saw smaller but positive flows for the third week running.
3h ago
Medium-term trend turned bearish
Trend change
The 20-period average crossed below the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
2d ago
Closed below 168.90
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
2d ago
Closed above 170.93
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
3d ago
Jumped 10.43% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (7.71%).
25d ago
Medium-term trend turned bullish
Trend change
The 20-period average crossed above the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
25d ago
Closed above 170.93
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
26d ago
Closed above 172.10
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
26d ago
Closed below 163.53
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
28d ago
Closed below 168.90
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
29d ago
Closed above 170.93
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 6
Closed above 172.10
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 6
Medium-term trend turned bearish
Trend change
The 20-period average crossed below the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
Jul 5
Closed below 168.90
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 5
Medium-term trend turned bullish
Trend change
The 20-period average crossed above the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
Jul 4
Jumped 12.30% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.7× its typical daily range (7.19%).
Jun 30
Closed above 170.93
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 30
Closed above 172.10
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 30
Closed below 155.73
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 23
Closed below 168.90
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 22

Showing the 20 most recent of 35 events in this window.

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

179.71 / 180.59

bearish

The 20-period average has crossed below the 50-period average — sellers have had the upper hand and rallies have been sold into.

42.4

bearish

At 42 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

-3.7611

bearish

MACD sits below its signal line — short-term momentum has rolled over relative to the medium-term trend, which typically precedes or confirms a pullback.

0.86× average

neutral

Volume is close to its period average — participation is normal and is neither confirming nor contradicting the price move.

13.21 (7.80%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 13.21 per bar, or 7.80% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger: A daily close above 170.93 on above-average volume
If it fires: 172.10 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation: A move back below 168.90 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 170.93 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 172.10. This would be counter-trend, so it needs stronger confirmation than usual — a single spike through the level is not enough. Given the market is moving roughly 13.21 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger: Losing 168.90 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires: 163.53, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation: Reclaiming 170.93 would void this idea

If 168.90 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 163.53. This aligns with the prevailing trend, which makes it the higher-probability of the two paths here. With volatility elevated, a break can travel a long way quickly — the first move is often the largest.

Trading risks

This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
Volatility is elevated at roughly 71% annualised, so the usual position size carries more risk than usual right now.
Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

Spot ETF flow data, published daily
Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Solana: network throughput, DeFi activity, crypto beta.

Latest market news

Digital Assets Dailyrecently

bullish · high impact

Bitcoin ETFs log largest weekly inflow since launch

30-second summary

Spot Bitcoin ETFs took in net new money across every session last week, led by two of the largest issuers. Ether products saw smaller but positive flows for the third week running.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Aug 4, 09:12 PM · No live source is configured for this market, so prices are simulated and do not represent real quotes.