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TAOUSD

Bittensor

Bittensor's native token, tied to a decentralised network for machine-learning models, priced against the US dollar.

97.88+0.28%

Price · last 3 months

Simulated

Market trend

Bullish

75/100 confidence

Bittensor is clearly bullish on this timeframe.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

  • Price vs long-term averagebullish
  • EMA 20 vs EMA 50bullish
  • MACD momentumbearish
  • RSI (14)bullish
  • Bollinger positionbullish
  • Market structurebullish

Key levels

  • 98.96+1.10%
  • 100.65+2.83%
Price97.88
  • 97.50-0.39%
  • 95.95-1.97%
  • 89.08-8.99%

21.0%annualised · low

Volatility is compressed relative to normal. Quiet markets tend to precede expansion, so this is a setup for a breakout rather than a reason to expect continued calm.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

  • Jumped 2.35% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.1× its typical daily range (2.05%).

    2d ago

  • Closed below 95.95

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    3d ago

  • Dropped 2.31% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.1× its typical daily range (2.02%).

    5d ago

  • Closed below 97.50

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    5d ago

  • Closed below 95.95

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    5d ago

  • Closed above 98.96

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    13d ago

  • Closed below 97.50

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    15d ago

  • Dropped 2.71% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (2.24%).

    25d ago

  • Closed below 95.95

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    25d ago

  • Medium-term trend turned bullish

    Trend change

    The 20-period average crossed above the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.

    27d ago

  • Jumped 3.66% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.6× its typical daily range (2.23%).

    Jul 6

  • Jumped 2.54% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (2.07%).

    Jul 3

  • Dropped 2.74% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (2.09%).

    Jun 6

  • Closed below 95.95

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    Jun 5

  • Closed below 95.95

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    Jun 3

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

96.79 / 95.43

bullish

The 20-period average sits above the 50-period average, which is the classic shape of an uptrend. Price above both means buyers have controlled the recent range.

56.3

bullish

At 56 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

0.6289

bearish

MACD sits below its signal line — short-term momentum has rolled over relative to the medium-term trend, which typically precedes or confirms a pullback.

1.06× average

neutral

Volume is close to its period average — participation is normal and is neither confirming nor contradicting the price move.

1.90 (1.94%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 1.90 per bar, or 1.94% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger
A daily close above 98.96 on above-average volume
If it fires
100.65 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation
A move back below 97.50 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 98.96 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 100.65. The broader trend already supports this, so it would be continuation rather than a reversal. Given the market is moving roughly 1.90 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger
Losing 97.50 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires
95.95, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation
Reclaiming 98.96 would void this idea

If 97.50 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 95.95. This runs against the prevailing trend, so it would most likely need a catalyst rather than developing on its own. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.

Trading risks

  • This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
  • Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
  • Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
  • Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

  • Spot ETF flow data, published daily
  • Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
  • Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Bittensor: AI-sector sentiment, subnet emissions schedule, speculative retail flow.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Aug 4, 09:10 PM · No live source is configured for this market, so prices are simulated and do not represent real quotes.