TRON

TRON's native token, priced against the US dollar.

0.3378+0.17%

Price · last 3 months

Live · CoinGecko

Market trend

Neutral

44/100 confidence

TRON is range-bound with no decisive edge either way.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

Price vs long-term averagebullish
EMA 20 vs EMA 50bullish
MACD momentumbearish
RSI (14)neutral
Bollinger positionbullish
Market structureneutral

Key levels

0.3436+1.73%
0.3496+3.50%

Price0.3378

0.3372-0.16%
0.3328-1.46%
0.3217-4.77%

13.9%annualised · low

Volatility is compressed relative to normal. Quiet markets tend to precede expansion, so this is a setup for a breakout rather than a reason to expect continued calm.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

Dropped 1.67% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (1.25%).
5d ago
Closed below 0.3372
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
5d ago
Jumped 1.83% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (1.40%).
17d ago
Dropped 2.99% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.2× its typical daily range (1.33%).
19d ago
Dropped 1.62% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (1.18%).
20d ago
Closed below 0.3372
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
20d ago
Closed below 0.3328
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
20d ago
Dropped 2.11% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.9× its typical daily range (1.10%).
26d ago
Closed below 0.3372
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
26d ago
Closed above 0.3436
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
29d ago
Jumped 1.80% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.9× its typical daily range (0.95%).
Aug 20
Closed below 0.3328
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Aug 14
Jumped 1.31% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.5× its typical daily range (0.90%).
Aug 11
Dropped 1.71% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.7× its typical daily range (1.02%).
Jul 27
Dropped 2.17% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.7× its typical daily range (1.27%).
Jul 13
Closed below 0.3217
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 29
Closed below 0.3217
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 26
Closed below 0.3328
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 23

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

0.3363 / 0.3343

bullish

The 20-period average sits above the 50-period average, which is the classic shape of an uptrend. Price above both means buyers have controlled the recent range.

52.7

neutral

At 53 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

0.00070

bearish

MACD sits below its signal line — short-term momentum has rolled over relative to the medium-term trend, which typically precedes or confirms a pullback.

1.06× average

neutral

Volume is close to its period average — participation is normal and is neither confirming nor contradicting the price move.

0.0039 (1.17%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 0.0039 per bar, or 1.17% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger: A daily close above 0.3436 on above-average volume
If it fires: 0.3496 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation: A move back below 0.3372 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 0.3436 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 0.3496. In a range-bound market a clean break is what resolves the indecision, so the volume behind it matters more than the break itself. Given the market is moving roughly 0.0039 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger: Losing 0.3372 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires: 0.3328, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation: Reclaiming 0.3436 would void this idea

If 0.3372 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 0.3328. With no trend in place, a failure at support is as likely to resolve the range as a break higher. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.

Trading risks

This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
Indicators disagree with each other on this timeframe, which historically means choppy conditions and a higher rate of false signals.
Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

Spot ETF flow data, published daily
Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives TRON: stablecoin settlement volume, network fee revenue, founder-related headline risk.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Sep 19, 02:50 PM · Live market data from CoinGecko.