Uniswap

Uniswap's governance token, tied to the largest decentralised exchange by volume, priced against the US dollar.

8.900+15.47%

Price · last 3 months

Live · CoinGecko

Market trend

Bullish

88/100 confidence

Uniswap is clearly bullish on this timeframe.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

Price vs long-term averagebullish
EMA 20 vs EMA 50bullish
MACD momentumbullish
RSI (14)bullish
Bollinger positionbullish
Market structurebullish

Key levels

9.110+2.36%

Price8.900

3.786-57.46%
3.137-64.75%
2.733-69.29%

83.2%annualised · high

Realised volatility is running well above what is normal for Uniswap. Ranges are wide, stops need more room, and position sizes should be smaller than usual to keep risk constant.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

Jumped 16.43% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.2× its typical daily range (7.59%).
1d ago
Jumped 19.12% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.4× its typical daily range (7.97%).
2d ago
Dropped 9.93% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.5× its typical daily range (6.59%).
10d ago
Jumped 15.98% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.4× its typical daily range (6.74%).
14d ago
Jumped 9.15% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.5× its typical daily range (6.22%).
16d ago
Jumped 11.19% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.8× its typical daily range (6.13%).
18d ago
Jumped 12.03% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.9× its typical daily range (6.37%).
20d ago
Jumped 7.05% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (5.67%).
23d ago
Jumped 12.04% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.1× its typical daily range (5.63%).
29d ago
Jumped 10.97% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.9× its typical daily range (5.87%).
Aug 19
Dropped 8.00% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (6.04%).
Aug 14
Closed below 3.786
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Aug 11
Dropped 7.31% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (5.23%).
Aug 3
Dropped 5.97% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (5.01%).
Aug 1
Jumped 10.28% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.0× its typical daily range (5.06%).
Jul 30
Dropped 5.45% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (4.29%).
Jul 27
Closed below 3.786
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jul 27
Jumped 5.93% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (4.39%).
Jul 26

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

6.381 / 5.316

bullish

The 20-period average sits above the 50-period average, which is the classic shape of an uptrend. Price above both means buyers have controlled the recent range.

78.5

bearish

At 78 the market is technically overbought. That is a sign of strength, not an automatic sell — but it does mean the easy part of the move is behind us and pullbacks get sharper.

0.72612

bullish

MACD is above its signal line, so short-term momentum is running ahead of the medium-term trend. Momentum is currently working for buyers.

3.06× average

bullish

Recent activity is running 206% above the period average, and price is rising into it. Participation confirming the move is what separates a real trend from drift.

0.580 (6.51%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 0.580 per bar, or 6.51% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger: A daily close above 9.110 on above-average volume
If it fires: 9.292 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation: A move back below 3.786 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 9.110 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 9.292. The broader trend already supports this, so it would be continuation rather than a reversal. Given the market is moving roughly 0.580 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger: Losing 3.786 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires: 3.137, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation: Reclaiming 9.110 would void this idea

If 3.786 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 3.137. This runs against the prevailing trend, so it would most likely need a catalyst rather than developing on its own. With volatility elevated, a break can travel a long way quickly — the first move is often the largest.

Trading risks

This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
Volatility is high at roughly 83% annualised, so the usual position size carries more risk than usual right now.
Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

Spot ETF flow data, published daily
Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Uniswap: decentralised-exchange trading volume, fee-switch governance decisions, DeFi risk appetite.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Sep 18, 11:33 PM · Live market data from CoinGecko.