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Stellar

Stellar's native token, built for cross-border payment rails, priced against the US dollar.

0.1927+4.99%

Price · last 3 months

Live · CoinGecko

Market trend

Bullish

88/100 confidence

Stellar is clearly bullish on this timeframe.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

  • Price vs long-term averagebullish
  • EMA 20 vs EMA 50bullish
  • MACD momentumbullish
  • RSI (14)bullish
  • Bollinger positionbullish
  • Market structurebullish

Key levels

  • 0.1941+0.73%
  • 0.1954+1.40%
  • 0.1965+1.98%
Price0.1927
  • 0.1923-0.23%
  • 0.1878-2.54%
  • 0.1802-6.48%

54.2%annualised · normal

Volatility is around its normal level for this market — no particular warning signal from the range itself.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

  • Dropped 8.79% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.9× its typical daily range (4.71%).

    4d ago

  • Closed below 0.1923

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    4d ago

  • Closed below 0.1878

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    4d ago

  • Closed below 0.1802

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    4d ago

  • Jumped 9.58% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 2.1× its typical daily range (4.64%).

    5d ago

  • Closed below 0.1878

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    10d ago

  • Closed below 0.1802

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    10d ago

  • Medium-term trend turned bullish

    Trend change

    The 20-period average crossed above the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.

    13d ago

  • Closed below 0.1802

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    15d ago

  • Jumped 5.58% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (4.52%).

    16d ago

  • Closed below 0.1878

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    22d ago

  • Closed below 0.1802

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    22d ago

  • Closed below 0.1923

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    25d ago

  • Closed below 0.1878

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    25d ago

  • Closed above 0.1965

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    27d ago

  • Jumped 12.22% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 3.0× its typical daily range (4.13%).

    29d ago

  • Closed above 0.1941

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    29d ago

  • Closed above 0.1954

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    29d ago

  • Closed above 0.1965

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    29d ago

  • Jumped 6.36% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.7× its typical daily range (3.73%).

    Aug 20

Showing the 20 most recent of 36 events in this window.

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

0.1821 / 0.1808

bullish

The 20-period average sits above the 50-period average, which is the classic shape of an uptrend. Price above both means buyers have controlled the recent range.

57.5

bullish

At 57 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

0.00185

bullish

MACD is above its signal line, so short-term momentum is running ahead of the medium-term trend. Momentum is currently working for buyers.

1.58× average

bullish

Recent activity is running 58% above the period average, and price is rising into it. Participation confirming the move is what separates a real trend from drift.

0.0091 (4.74%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 0.0091 per bar, or 4.74% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger
A daily close above 0.1941 on above-average volume
If it fires
0.1954 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation
A move back below 0.1923 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 0.1941 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 0.1954. The broader trend already supports this, so it would be continuation rather than a reversal. Given the market is moving roughly 0.0091 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger
Losing 0.1923 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires
0.1878, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation
Reclaiming 0.1941 would void this idea

If 0.1923 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 0.1878. This runs against the prevailing trend, so it would most likely need a catalyst rather than developing on its own. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.

Trading risks

  • This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
  • Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
  • Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
  • Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

  • Spot ETF flow data, published daily
  • Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
  • Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Stellar: payment-corridor partnerships, network usage, crypto beta.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Sep 18, 10:43 PM · Live market data from CoinGecko.