Skip to content
DollarAndGold
Crypto
XMRUSD

Monero

Monero, a privacy-focused cryptocurrency with mandatory transaction shielding, priced against the US dollar.

561.99+9.11%

Price · last 3 months

Live · CoinGecko

Market trend

Bullish

88/100 confidence

Monero is clearly bullish on this timeframe.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

  • Price vs long-term averagebullish
  • EMA 20 vs EMA 50bullish
  • MACD momentumbearish
  • RSI (14)bullish
  • Bollinger positionbullish
  • Market structurebullish

Key levels

  • 562.66+0.12%
Price561.99
  • 544.35-3.14%
  • 335.78-40.25%
  • 302.01-46.26%

44.0%annualised · normal

Volatility is around its normal level for this market — no particular warning signal from the range itself.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

  • Jumped 8.73% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.7× its typical daily range (5.23%).

    23h ago

  • Closed below 544.35

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    13d ago

  • Jumped 7.30% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (5.52%).

    14d ago

  • Jumped 6.58% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (4.83%).

    19d ago

  • Jumped 5.13% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (4.39%).

    23d ago

  • Jumped 6.59% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.6× its typical daily range (4.13%).

    28d ago

  • Jumped 3.99% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.3× its typical daily range (3.18%).

    Aug 19

  • Dropped 4.56% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (3.26%).

    Aug 11

  • Jumped 4.98% in one bar

    Price move

    A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.5× its typical daily range (3.32%).

    Jul 21

  • Closed below 335.78

    Level break

    That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.

    Jul 17

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

506.39 / 459.19

bullish

The 20-period average sits above the 50-period average, which is the classic shape of an uptrend. Price above both means buyers have controlled the recent range.

66.4

bullish

At 66 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

21.1707

bearish

MACD sits below its signal line — short-term momentum has rolled over relative to the medium-term trend, which typically precedes or confirms a pullback.

1.37× average

bullish

Recent activity is running 37% above the period average, and price is rising into it. Participation confirming the move is what separates a real trend from drift.

27.01 (4.81%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 27.01 per bar, or 4.81% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger
A daily close above 562.66 on above-average volume
If it fires
573.91 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation
A move back below 544.35 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 562.66 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 573.91. The broader trend already supports this, so it would be continuation rather than a reversal. Given the market is moving roughly 27.01 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger
Losing 544.35 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires
335.78, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation
Reclaiming 562.66 would void this idea

If 544.35 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 335.78. This runs against the prevailing trend, so it would most likely need a catalyst rather than developing on its own. With volatility contained, expect the move to develop over several bars rather than in one impulse.

Trading risks

  • This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
  • Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
  • Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.
  • Regulatory headlines remain the single largest source of unhedgeable overnight risk.

Key events to watch

  • Spot ETF flow data, published daily
  • Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
  • Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Monero: exchange delistings, privacy-coin regulatory scrutiny, darknet-market demand.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Sep 18, 10:45 PM · Live market data from CoinGecko.