Zcash

Zcash, a privacy-focused cryptocurrency with optional shielded transactions, priced against the US dollar.

505.48+4.43%

Price · last 3 months

Live · CoinGecko

Market trend

Neutral

30/100 confidence

Zcash is range-bound with no decisive edge either way.

Confidence measures how much the indicators agree with each other. It is not a probability that a trade will be profitable.

Signals behind this

Price vs long-term averagebullish
EMA 20 vs EMA 50bearish
MACD momentumbearish
RSI (14)neutral
Bollinger positionneutral
Market structurebullish

Key levels

507.90+0.48%
535.11+5.86%
585.20+15.77%

Price505.48

489.40-3.18%
477.92-5.45%
453.83-10.22%

111.6%annualised · high

Realised volatility is running well above what is normal for Zcash. Ranges are wide, stops need more room, and position sizes should be smaller than usual to keep risk constant.

How this developed

Major moves, trend changes, level breaks and news for this window, newest first.

Medium-term trend turned bearish
Trend change
The 20-period average crossed below the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
8d ago
Closed below 489.40
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
9d ago
Closed below 477.92
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
9d ago
Closed below 489.40
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
12d ago
Medium-term trend turned bullish
Trend change
The 20-period average crossed above the 50-period average — the same signal behind this page's trend verdict.
18d ago
Jumped 12.96% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.7× its typical daily range (7.47%).
22d ago
Closed above 507.90
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
22d ago
Closed above 535.11
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
22d ago
Dropped 8.02% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (6.48%).
23d ago
Closed above 535.11
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
24d ago
Closed above 507.90
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
25d ago
Closed below 477.92
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
28d ago
Closed below 453.83
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 21
Closed below 477.92
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 18
Closed below 489.40
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 17
Closed above 507.90
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 15
Closed below 453.83
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 9
Jumped 22.96% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.2× its typical daily range (18.40%).
Jun 7
Dropped 19.84% in one bar
Price move
A genuinely large move for this market, not just a large-looking percentage — it moved 1.4× its typical daily range (13.92%).
Jun 5
Closed below 453.83
Level break
That price is one of today's key levels — this is when price last closed on the other side of it.
Jun 5

Showing the 20 most recent of 31 events in this window.

Summary

Writing

Technical indicators

Computed from 90 bars over the last 3 months.

489.19 / 495.42

bearish

The 20-period average has crossed below the 50-period average — sellers have had the upper hand and rallies have been sold into.

53.5

neutral

At 54 momentum is in the normal band — neither stretched nor exhausted, so RSI is not arguing for a reversal in either direction.

-3.7162

bearish

MACD sits below its signal line — short-term momentum has rolled over relative to the medium-term trend, which typically precedes or confirms a pullback.

0.34× average

neutral

Activity is 66% below average. Thin participation makes the current move easier to reverse and less reliable as a signal.

25.54 (5.05%)

neutral

The market has been moving about 25.54 per bar, or 5.05% of price. This is the number position sizing and stop placement should be built around — a stop tighter than this will be hit by ordinary noise.

Two ways this could go

Both paths are shown with equal weight. Neither is a prediction.

Potential bullish scenario

Trigger: A daily close above 507.90 on above-average volume
If it fires: 535.11 as the next area where sellers have previously stepped in
Invalidation: A move back below 489.40 would void this idea

If buyers can absorb the supply sitting at 507.90 and hold above it into a close, the path of least resistance opens toward 535.11. In a range-bound market a clean break is what resolves the indecision, so the volume behind it matters more than the break itself. Given the market is moving roughly 25.54 per bar, allow at least that much room before treating a wick through the level as a real breakout.

Potential bearish scenario

Trigger: Losing 489.40 and failing to reclaim it
If it fires: 477.92, the next level where buyers previously defended
Invalidation: Reclaiming 507.90 would void this idea

If 489.40 gives way and the market cannot recover it quickly, the next obvious area of interest is 477.92. With no trend in place, a failure at support is as likely to resolve the range as a break higher. With volatility elevated, a break can travel a long way quickly — the first move is often the largest.

Trading risks

This analysis reads price history. It cannot anticipate news, and markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates.
Volatility is high at roughly 112% annualised, so the usual position size carries more risk than usual right now.
Indicators disagree with each other on this timeframe, which historically means choppy conditions and a higher rate of false signals.
Crypto trades 24/7, so a position can move substantially while you are asleep with no session close to protect you.
Liquidity thins dramatically during weekends and holidays, which exaggerates both directions.

Key events to watch

Spot ETF flow data, published daily
Exchange reserve balances and large on-chain transfers
Regulatory announcements and enforcement actions in major jurisdictions

What actually drives Zcash: privacy-coin regulatory scrutiny, shielded-pool usage, crypto beta.

This analysis is educational and should not be considered financial advice. It is generated from historical price data and can be wrong. Markets reprice on news faster than any indicator updates. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.

Generated Aug 4, 09:12 PM · Live market data from CoinGecko.